"Too Little, Too Late: An Analysis of Hitler's Failure
in August 1942 to Damage Soviet Oil Production"
By Dr Joel Hayward
The Journal of Military History,
Vol. 64, No. 3 (July 2000), pp. 769-794.
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Click HERE for a PDF of the jounal article in its published form.
Even before Operation Barbarossa petered out in December 1941,
He therefore formulated Fall Blau (Case Blue), a major campaign for summer 1942. This aimed first, through preliminary offensives in the Crimea, to protect Rumanian oil centres from Soviet air attacks, and second, through a powerful thrust to the Don River and then into the Caucasus, to deliver that oil-rich region into German hands. The capture of the
The consequences of that ill-fated campaign are well known, and need little discussion here. Hitler became distracted by
This study analyses a little-known and poorly documented aspect of the 1942 campaign: Hitler's employment of airpower in the
The article argues for the first time that the Luftwaffe could have dealt the Soviet economy a major blow, from which it would have taken at least several months to recover, if Hitler had not been so obsessed with
I
The need for oil was a prime motive for launching Operation Barbarossa, as Albert Speer, Hitler's Armaments Minister, later admitted.[1] Indeed, even during initial discussions of his plan to invade the
Despite Hitler's bold claim, the 1941 campaign--which opened along a 2,000 kilometer front and involved 148 combat divisions--failed to achieve the Red Army's defeat and, consequently, the occupation of the
The specific oilfields that Hitler mentioned lay in the
During the winter of 1941/42, Hitler had managed to convince his senior military advisors that his plan to occupy the
Throughout this period Hitler and his military advisers apparently never discussed in detail the important question of how
Hitler had almost certainly not read the March 1941 report by Lieutenant General Hermann von Hanneken of the War Economy and Armaments Office, which was appended to a letter sent by Generalfeldmarschall (Field Marshal) Keitel to the High Command of the Army (OKH). This report warned that, even if the Caucasus oilfields could be captured intact, very little oil (only 10,000 tons per month) could be carried overland to Germany.[11] Moreover, even if the Black Sea could be made safe for shipping, there would be no ships available for the transport of Caucasus oil up the Danube because the Danube river tankers were already working to capacity transporting Rumanian oil.[12] The only remaining route was across the Black Sea, through the Dardanelles, and on to Mediterranean ports. Accordingly, the report concluded, "the opening of the sea routes and the security of the tankers in the
Despite not considering how best to solve this logistics nightmare--which never occurred, because, as shown below, the German Army captured only the already-wrecked Maikop oilfield--Hitler and his courtiers were not entirely lacking in forethought. When planning the forthcoming campaign during the first months of 1942, they stressed the crucial need to reach the
The High Command of the Armed Forces (OKW) had established an "Oil Detachment Caucasus" a year earlier, in the spring of 1941, when the capture of the oilfields was still a principal objective of the forthcoming attack on the
II
The Mineraloel Brigade did not have long to wait. Operation Blau commenced on
On 23 July, Hitler's mistaken assessment of the Red Army's present state prompted him to issue a war directive that deviated substantially from Blau's original conception. "The broad objectives I had set for the southern wing of the Eastern front," he trumpeted in War Directive 45, "have been largely achieved. Only weak forces from [Soviet Marshal] Timoshenko's armies succeeded in avoiding encirclement and reaching the southern bank of the Don."[16] Now, he continued, it was time to finish the task.
No longer deeming it necessary to secure the northern flank and pound
In Operation Edelweiss, Generalfeldmarschall Wilhelm List's Army Group A was to encircle and destroy the Soviet formations that fled across the Don into the northern
The Luftwaffe, Hitler stated, was to continue providing close and strong support to both army groups. "The early destruction of
Hitler's new instructions flew in the face of traditional military doctrine. First, they did not involve a reorganization of the army groups in keeping with their allotted tasks. The specialist Italian Alpine Corps, for example, was not sent to the
Second, rather than work towards a single Schwerpunkt (point of main effort)--as espoused by traditional German strategists--Hitler's two groups would diverge at right angles, thus dissipating their strength. Their divergence would open a large and vulnerable gap between them and, even worse, necessitate separate logistics routes. Supply lines were already stretched to breaking point, with both army groups experiencing fuel and ammunition shortages. Now Hitler wanted one group to push eastwards to
Still, the following few weeks seemed to support his bold "strategy". By
The Fuehrer's initial joy at Maikop's seizure was shared by many of his cohorts. According to Count Galeazzo Ciano's diary, Mussolini "attributes a great deal of importance" to its capture. It will have the effect, the Italian Foreign Minister wrote, "of relieving the Axis, but not immediately, and not altogether, of the pressing oil problem."[22] However, their delight soon turned to bitter disappointment when they learned that Soviet rearguards had already destroyed hundreds of wells, wrecked oil storage facilities and crippled the refineries by removing vital components.[23]
Although this was always a likely result, the damage was far more extensive than the Axis leaders had naively hoped. Twelve days after the city fell, the Inspector of Air Defenses reported that only two oil wells were "capable of being developed for use. One well is still burning, although it may soon be possible to extinguish the fire. The other wells have been rendered useless by having cement poured down the bores."[24] The Soviets had also destroyed the large refinery in
Bringing Maikop back into production would prove difficult and time-consuming, despite the Mineraloel Brigade going to work almost straight away. At the end of August, Georg Thomas, head of the War Economy and Armaments Office, noted in his monthly situation report to the OKW that "only insignificant amounts of mineral oil were found" when Maikop fell.[25] The extensive damage inflicted on extraction and processing installations and the sporadic fighting still taking place in the region made it impossible at the moment to conduct a thorough investigation of the oilfield. Yet only after specialists conducted such an investigation, Thomas pointed out, could they determine how soon and to what degree the field could be exploited.
On 8 September 1942--that is, a full month after German troops first entered the Maikop oilfield, choking on thick smoke billowing from burning storage tanks--Dr. Schlicht of the Mineraloel Brigade reported to Thomas on progress at Maikop.[26] Difficult terrain ("extremely suitable for partisan warfare") prevented the transportation of cumbersome drilling equipment, at least until new transportation routes could be created. In the meantime, Schlicht said, German specialists had to determine which wells would be easiest to unblock. This would not be easy; the Soviets had inflicted massive damage, even to pipelines. "Until now," he emphasized, "only 4,000 cubic meters of oil stocks have been uncovered. It will take at least another six months until regular production can resume." Accordingly, "it is essential we give the Reichsmarschall [Imperial Marshal--Hermann Goering, Plenipotentiary of the Four Year Plan and, in effect,
Schlicht was right: Goering's grasp of matters relating to oil production was extremely weak. For instance, two months later, on 21 November, he presided over an oil conference in
III
Hitler had long known that the Soviets would not give up their oilfields without a fight, and would certainly not let them fall into German hands intact. In January 1942 he had received the text of a "secret" speech made during the previous month by Marshal Timoshenko to the Supreme Defence Council. "If
"that is obviously a grave disappointment for us, but it by no means disrupts our grand strategy.
The Fuehrer had foiled Timoshenko's plan--after all, his troops were deep in the
Not only was Hitler promptly informed--and in detail--of Maikop oilfield's destruction,[29] but he also received frequent "updates" from Thomas and his staff on efforts to repair the wrecked facilities and clear the blocked wells. On or shortly after 10 August, therefore, Hitler should have reached the obvious conclusion that his army would not be able to capture the main oilfields intact or only lightly damaged. It had raced with surprising speed to Maikop, the closest of the oil centres, only to find its oilfields extensively damaged and rendered worthless by Soviet engineers and army rearguards. It had little likelihood, therefore, of ever reaching
The steadily stiffening resistance of Soviet formations in the
Even Hitler could see that his grand plans for the
It is actually surprising that he did not reach this decision. He was fully aware of airpower's ability to damage or destroy oil production and refinement facilities. In fact, for almost two years he had held grave fears for the safety of Rumanian oilfields, which provided most of the Reich's oil. Soviet bombers, he repeatedly told his courtiers and military advisors, could destroy the German war economy if they hit those oilfields in sufficient mass. For example, on
"Apart from the fact that it is important to capture or destroy
Similarly, two days later he explained to Generaloberst Heinz Guderian, his ablest panzer commander, the absolute need to neutralize the Crimea, "that Soviet aircraft carrier for attacking the Rumanian oilfields".[34] The significance of Hitler's constant fear of Soviet air attacks on his main source of oil by Crimea-based bombers has already been noted: it led him to order a large campaign (successfully executed in May and June 1942) to defeat the strong Soviet forces that still held ground at each end of the Crimea. It is remarkable, therefore, that he did not order the Luftwaffe to wreck the
In August this possibility still existed. Generaloberst von Richthofen's Luftflotte 4 (Fourth Air Fleet)[35] had two air corps in the southern sector of the Russian front: General der Flieger (General of Aviators) Karl Pflugbeil's Fliegerkorps IV and Generalleutnant (Lieutenant General) Martin Fiebig's Fliegerkorps VIII. Since late July, following Hitler's decision to split the main eastern offensive into two simultaneous campaigns, Richthofen had deployed one air corps in support of each army group. Pflugbeil's air corps supported List's drive to the
Richthofen regretted splitting his air assets in this manner, but believed that he could still create significant single Schwerpunkte (points of main effort) in each of the combat zones. In any event, he could swap units back and forth between
By the time the army occupied the Maikop oilfield on 9 August, Richthofen's Luftflotte 4 was no longer in good shape. Recent fighting and related missions had taken a heavy toll. In the four weeks before 20 July 1942, for instance, the air fleet's total complement had dropped from 1,610 aircraft to 1,359, and its operational readiness had dropped from 71 per cent (which, although not as high as that of the air forces in western Europe, was excellent for the eastern front, where logistical, geographical and climatic problems proved difficult to overcome) to a mediocre 56 per cent in the same period.[36] By 20 August the fleet's strength had decreased further. Its complement had fallen to 1,071 aircraft, 643 (or 60 per cent) of them operational.[37]
Because of this drop in strength and serviceability, Richthofen's air fleet was not capable during August 1942 of concentrating bombers in sufficient mass to inflict heavy damage on the main
Hitler and his Air Staff could have ordered raids on the Caucasus oilfields by a strong combined force of bombers formed from Richthofen's Luftflotte 4 and Greim's Luftwaffenkommando Ost. This would have necessitated a temporary but extensive transfer of bomber units from the Moscow and Stalingrad sectors to airfields in the northern and central Caucasus (with "stopovers" at established German airfields in the Crimea and the Don Basin). This was difficult, but, as Hitler well knew, entirely possible. He had personally ordered[39] a very similar set of aircraft transfers only three months earlier, when he hastily transferred units from Richthofen's air corps in the Crimea and Greim's from the Moscow sector to the area around Kharkov, where they helped Pflugbeil's air corps and two German armies repel a powerful Soviet offensive.[40]
On that occasion, Richthofen and Greim had sent Pflugbeil numerous air units and as much aviation fuel as they could spare, as well as transport aircraft and many trucks to carry it, and even teams of their own ground personnel to help unload the fuel and supplies and construct makeshift airfields and facilities. These transfers had exhausted the aircrews, who received no rest from combat in their own sectors before making the long and arduous flights to the Kharkov region. They also taxed the energy and resources of service, maintenance and labour battalions, who worked ceaselessly in chaotic conditions to organise and equip airfields (including several new ones, hastily transformed from large stretches of flat grass) and prepare arriving aircraft for their new missions.
Because several of the airstrips were not near German railheads and established supply routes, and some lacked decent roads, Luftwaffe construction, supply and maintenance personnel had to move their equipment forward by air. Supply units struggled to carry out these missions, pushing themselves and the Junkers Ju 52 work-horses to the limits of their endurance. But it all paid off; despite the great difficulties, the transfer of air units, labour teams, fuel and equipment from the Crimea and from the Moscow sector gave beleaguered German ground forces at Kharkov what historians Ziemke and Bauer later called "an extraordinarily powerful concentration of air support".[41] This air support proved crucial to the attainment of the Wehrmacht's victory at Kharkov. So, then, with this successful operation as his "model", Hitler could have created a force sufficient for raids on Grozny and Baku.
Reaching Grozny presented the Luftwaffe with no difficulty during August and early September. Fully-laden Junkers Ju 88s and Heinkel He 111s could easily have reached it from Fliegerkorps IV's forward airfields around Voroshilovsk and in the region between the Kuma and Terek Rivers. The short flight distances would have made it possible for bombers to conduct several raids each per day (if ground personnel could keep up, that is). Fighters could also have escorted them both there and back. Reaching Baku was more problematic. Ju 88s and He 111s could reach Baku from those airfields, but only by the most direct routes to keep the entire two-way flights within range. This would have made their flight paths predictable, thereby creating greater risks of losses to flak "curtains" and interception by Soviet fighters. German fighters could not have reduced the latter threat; their limited range prevented them escorting bombers all the way to their targets, thus leaving them exposed to Soviet fighter attack as they approached their targets.
Actually, had the Luftwaffe attacked Grozny and especially Baku during August, it would have faced little opposition from the Voyenno-vozdushnyye sily (VVS--the Red Air Force). The VVS had few aircraft in the Caucasus, and most were obsolete models. On 29 July, Luftflotte 4 reported to the OKW that "the Russian air force facing Army Group South's right flank demonstrates its weakness. Stukas even carry out their attacks without fighter escorts, and don't get attacked by Russian fighters."[42] This situation remained constant throughout most of August, as Richthofen's diary and the official OKW war diary both reveal.
By the end of August, however, it had begun to change. Soviet ground forces in the region around Grozny requested and received additional VVS fighter, ground-attack and bomber units, which commenced combat operations in the last days of August. They were soon joined by air units that had earlier been savaged by the Luftwaffe and forced to withdraw, with high losses and their formations scattered, to a variety of airfields in the southern Caucasus. By the middle of September they had been repaired, strengthened by replacements, reorganised into proper formations, and placed back into combat. They wanted revenge, and quickly began gaining it.[43]
Of course, even if the Luftwaffe had struck Baku in August, when the VVS remained very weak, it would not have done so without losses. Strong anti-aircraft defences protected the oil metropolis. In the spring of 1942, "the Soviet High Command, continuing to strengthen the Soviet armed forces' defensive capabilities, devoted special attention to the strengthening of anti-aircraft defences at critically important industrial-economic centres, particularly Moscow, Leningrad and Baku."[44] The latter received the least attention, due to the Soviet High Command's mistaken belief throughout the first half of 1942 that the Germans would launch another major campaign against Moscow.[45] Even so, by July 1942 fighters units formed part of Baku's anti-aircraft defences, which included searchlights, early-warning systems, balloons and numerous flak batteries. By the beginning of September, as the Germans inched towards Grozny, additional fighter units arrived in the southern Caucasus for Baku's defence.
Richthofen and his two air corps commanders knew something of these anti-aircraft defences, as did the Luftwaffe High Command (OKL). Daily reconnaissance flights over important Caucasus cities, ports and naval bases had been occurring routinely for several months before German troops even entered the Caucasus at the end of July.[46] They had taken many thousands of photographs of Novorossiisk, Tuapse, Sukhumi, Poti, Krasnodar, Astrakhan, Grozny and even distant Baku. German cartographers had already incorporated valuable information from these photographs and aircrew reports into the new maps then being spread before the staff and field officers directing the Caucasus campaign.
Baku's anti-aircraft defences would not have prevented all, or even most, Luftwaffe aircraft from unloading their bombs over the oilfields and installations had these missions been ordered in August. Experience during 1941 and the first half of 1942 showed Luftwaffe observers that Soviet flak batteries generally performed well but failed to prevent or curtail German attacks. Moreover, Allied air raids on German cities convinced them that even their own flak gunners, supposedly better than the Soviets, were incapable of bringing down a high number of aircraft or preventing widespread damage.
V
So, then, why did Hitler not order the Luftwaffe to attack Grozny and Baku during August, when he had the means to do so and little chance of capturing the oilfields intact or with minor damage? Two reasons exist. First, he failed entirely to grasp the significance of Maikop's destruction by Soviet rearguards, and seems to have naively considered it possible that the other oilfields, even if they also suffered attack, could be exploited within a comparatively short period if captured promptly. Accordingly, even after the advance of List's army group slowed to a crawl in the face of inadequate air support, dwindling fuel and ammunition, and stiffening Soviet resistance, Hitler refused to terminate the Caucasus offensive, or even allow a pause for regrouping and the establishment of winter positions. When List failed to increase the tempo in early September, Hitler dismissed him and announced to his stunned entourage that he would take personal charge of Army Group A.
Tormented by a growing realisation that his Caucasus campaign was almost over, and filled with disappointment, mistrust and anger at his general staff, he directed his hostility towards Halder, whom he repeatedly accused of lacking National Socialist ardour and finally sacked two weeks later. He replaced him with Kurt Zeitzler, who was not only a fervent Nazi but a dynamic leader with exceptional organizational abilities, an assertive manner and boundless energy that earned him the nickname "Thunderball" (Kugelblitz).
Neither Zeitzler's "thunder" nor "Field Marshal" Hitler's long-distance command of exhausted Army Group A compensated for the group's acute shortages of supplies, reinforcements and air support (the latter was Hitler's own fault; he wanted the Caucasus campaign to succeed, but devoted no airpower to it. He wasted it at Stalingrad instead). As autumn wind and rain replaced summer sun, the Caucasus campaign steadily petered out, with only very minor changes in the line occurring after the middle of September. By early October, Axis forces were barely moving--and barely surviving, in many cases, due to fierce resistance and shortages of fuel and provisions. Yet, although they almost had Grozny, they were still nowhere near achieving Hitler's major campaign goals.
It was only at this point (as shown below) that Hitler finally embraced reality and, realising that his dream of capturing and exploiting the Caucasus oilfields (at least in the short to medium term) was over, ordered the Luftwaffe to attack the oilfields. He did not, however, order his armies to withdraw back behind the Don. They remained in the Caucasus, apparently until a new campaign towards the oilfields could be launched. As it happened, Soviet forces almost encircled them as they did Sixth Army at Stalingrad. Zeitzler persuaded Hitler to pull them back in the nick of time, and they escaped in December 1942 and January 1943 with reasonable losses.
The second reason for Hitler's failure to issue timely orders for air attacks on Grozny and Baku is that in August he became obsessed with capturing Stalingrad and consequently gave it far higher priority than the seizure or destruction of the oilfields. The Luftwaffe's primary function in the southern sector ceased to be support of the armies in the Caucasus (where they would be available for raids against oilfields), and instead became "flying artillery" in support of Sixth Army as it struggled to take Stalingrad.
After Hitler divided his main campaign into two simultaneous offensives in July, Richthofen possessed nowhere near enough aircraft to provide adequate support for both army groups and was soon no longer able, as a result, to create major Schwerpunkte (points of main effort). He spent the next three and a half months hastily swapping units back and forth between Stalingrad and the Caucasus as he attempted to create "local" Schwerpunkte as opportunities arose or crises developed. Those transfers over long distances steadily reduced operational rates. Moreover, air units encountered increasingly numerous VVS forces, which proved better trained and equipped than hitherto. To overcome them cost time, effort and high losses. Luftwaffe units also often had to operate from inadequate airfields, sometimes far from their targets, which were widely scattered over a large area.
Consequently, the level of support for most army formations dropped dramatically, with the exception of ground forces attacking Stalingrad itself, which received strong support in accordance with Hitler's personal orders. As early as 11 August (only two days after Maikop's capture, in fact) Richthofen realised that the Fuehrer's attention had shifted to Stalingrad and, in order to satisfy his desire for the strongest possible air attacks on that city, began pulling air units out of the Caucasus. This left two complete armies with a rapidly diminishing level of air support. Richthofen's decision to strip units from Pflugbeil's Fliegerkorps IV, the air corps operating in the Caucasus, was doubtless influenced by his 10 August meeting with Hans Jeschonnek, the Luftwaffe's Chief of General Staff, who emphasised Hitler's growing infatuation with the city bearing Stalin's name.[47]
By early September, the army's wide dispersion across the width of the Caucasus and Fliegerkorps IV's much-reduced complement left Richthofen unable to create even minor Schwerpunkte in that large region without first having to "borrow" units from Fiebig's Fliegerkorps VIII, then busy wrecking Stalingrad. With Hitler constantly demanding an intensification of effort at Stalingrad, against which Fiebig's air corps committed almost all its aircraft, Richthofen was seldom able to send air units south.
Even when he managed to divert units to the Caucasus, he had to dissipate their strength by committing half to each of the army's critical sectors: the forested hills around Tuapse, where Soviet defenders withstood Seventeenth Army's repeated attempts to break through to the Black Sea coast, and in the Terek bend, where First Panzer Army encountered fierce resistance as it tried to push through to Grozny. He had nothing to deploy in mass against oilfields and other economic targets.
Fliegerkorps VIII performed well against its primary target, Stalingrad, pounding it into rubble during heavy raids, but its continued bombardment of the ruins in accordance with Hitler's insistence that every street be cleared of the enemy led to a great waste of resources. For two months, Fiebig's units rained hundreds of tons of bombs on the ruins each day, turning small heaps of large rubble into large heaps of small rubble but achieving nothing substantial. This was neither Fiebig's nor Richthofen's fault. Hitler wanted Stalingrad taken, and insisted that all efforts be directed to that end. Hence, no raids against Grozny or Baku could be contemplated. Hitler only changed his mind in October, when a temporary lull in fighting at Stalingrad occurred as both sides, exhausted and in need of reinforcements, took a "breather". On most days between 6 and 14 October, Richthofen noted in his diary: Bei Stalingrad absolute Ruhe -- "Absolute quiet at Stalingrad."
This lull in fighting at Stalingrad coincided with the Fuehrer's eventual realization that his forces in the Caucasus would not reach the main oilfields before winter weather forced them to take up winter positions. On 7 October, therefore, he ordered Richthofen, whose units had temporarily suspended attacks on Stalingrad's ruined suburbs, to attack oilfields at Grozny and other central Caucasian centres as strongly as possible. If he could not have the oilfields--at present, anyway--he should at least deny Stalin's agriculture, industry and armed forces their vast output.[48]
Richthofen realised that this would be no easy task, especially as Hitler had not ordered Greim's units in the Moscow sector to participate (apparently because Soviet pressure in that sector was also mounting and Hitler wanted Greim's forces kept there to prevent any Soviet attacks). Richthofen therefore ordered the transfer of almost every available bomber and dive-bomber unit in the Stalingrad sector to airfields around the northern Caucasian towns of Krasnodar, Maikop and Armavir, where they were made ready for their first "strategic" bombing mission in months. Some units, including the 3rd Group of the Fifty-fifth Bomber Wing (III./K.G. 55), had to operate from airfields at Saki in the distant Crimea.[49] Even reaching Grozny from Saki would prove difficult for them. Reaching Baku was impossible. Aircraft could no longer operate from Fliegerkorps IV's forward airfields around Voroshilovsk and in the region between the Kuma and Terek Rivers; they had proven too vulnerable to VVS attacks and had mostly been abandoned during September in favour of airfields further north.
On 10 October, Richthofen hurled almost every operational bomber his air fleet possessed against the Grozny refineries.[50] Bomber units, like those of the other aircraft types, was now in poor shape. Richthofen had started Operation Blau with an impressive force of 480 bombers, of which 323 (a reasonable 67 per cent) were serviceable.[51] Now he had only 232 bombers, of which a mere 129 (55 per cent) were serviceable. They could still deliver reasonable blows to single targets, however. The damage they and dive-bombers inflicted on Grozny reminded Richthofen of attacks on Sevastopol during June 1942; huge flames leapt from shattered fuel tanks and burst pipes, and dense clouds of smoke rose high into the air.[52] He was delighted, joyfully noting in his diary the following evening that smoke clouds were still 5,500 meters high. He repeated the attacks two nights later[53], with equally pleasing results.
These raids on Grozny's oil refineries, though, marked the sum total of Luftflotte 4's "strategic" attacks on Soviet industry in the Caucasus.[54] Richthofen simply could not spare aircraft from the Stalingrad sector to carry out further such raids. He certainly had no chance of conducting the "massive attacks" on Baku's oilfields, for instance, that Hitler ridiculously ordered on 22 October.[55]
By that stage Richthofen's bomber strength had risen slightly to 186 airworthy He 111s and Ju 88s[56], but Hitler's own illogical prioritising, and its consequent impact on the employment of those bombers, offset this small gain. Even after ordering the "massive attacks" on Baku and Astrakhan, Hitler still insisted that the destruction and capture of Stalingrad remained his highest priority. Thus, Richthofen felt unable to commit his bomber forces to attacks on the oilfields. In fact, he could only temporarily reduce the bombardment of Stalingrad and send bomber forces south when bad weather at Stalingrad curtailed operations there.
Hitler's continued emphasis on Stalingrad can be explained. During October intelligence reports revealed strong Soviet build-ups on either side of the city and warned that a major counteroffensive loomed. Hitler remained convinced that the best means of preventing a Soviet breakthrough would be the rapid capture of Stalingrad, which would release the bulk of Sixth Army for defensive duties in and behind the vulnerable sections of the front.[57] Hence, even though he wanted--and ordered--the Baku oilfields destroyed to deny Stalin their vast output, he kept the air units that could have attempted it tied up at Stalingrad.
In any event, even though Hitler ordered Baku's destruction by Luftflotte 4, he never ordered Greim's Luftwaffenkommando Ost to participate or transfer units south temporarily for the undertaking. Without this reinforcement, Richthofen's 186 airworthy bombers, scattered throughout Luftflotte 4's vast combat zone, could not possibly have been organised into an attack force and deployed in sufficient mass to significantly wreck Baku's oilfields, refineries and storage facilities--even if they could reach them; and by October they could not. Most forward airfields in the central Caucasus had been badly damaged by Soviet air forces (which were then far stronger), placing Baku well outside the range of bombers operating from even the closest secure German airfields. Perhaps most importantly, by the last week of October Richthofen had a far more pressing mission: the deployment of every spare aircraft against the Soviet forces revealed by his reconnaissance units to be preparing a massive offensive to snare Sixth Army at Stalingrad.[58]
Conclusions
Richthofen's air attacks on Grozny did considerable material damage, but placed no strain whatsoever on the Soviet economy and war effort. After all, the combined output of both Maikop and Grozny only amounted to around ten per cent of the Soviet Union's total output. Maikop's capture and Grozny's wrecking doubtless annoyed the Soviet leadership, but, with Baku's immense output left untouched, these were certainly not going to plunge the Soviet military and civilian economies into a period of hardship. In fact, the threat of a German advance to Baku had already done far more damage; before the Germans even entered the Caucasus that threat had caused the evacuation of much machinery and the closure of many wells.[59] The German entry into the Caucasus then placed great strains on Soviet logistical capabilities, having made necessary huge detours. Oil had to travel across the Caspian Sea to Krasnovdsk and up through Turkmenia to Orenburg in order to arrive back in the nation's interior. A lack of vessels, trains and storage facilities exacerbated these problems. Thus, the loss of Maikop and Grozny paled into insignificance compared to these difficulties. Only Baku's loss or heavy damage could have crippled the Soviet Union, and Hitler had blown his opportunity in August.
With the benefit of hindsight, it is now reasonable to argue that Richthofen's air fleet could have dealt the Soviet economy a major blow, from which it would have taken at least several months to recover, if it had unloaded as many bombs on Baku as it did on Stalingrad. Heavy damage to that oil metropolis, which alone accounted for 80 per cent of all Soviet production, was possible during August and early September.
Richthofen still possessed a strong bomber force and airfields within striking range, Greim had many other bombers he could have transferred south for such a mission, and the VVS's presence in the Caucasus was still relatively weak. By October, when Hitler finally ordered attacks on oilfields, Richthofen's bomber fleet was much reduced, most forward airfields had been badly damaged by VVS forces, which were now far stronger, Baku was no longer within range, and Richthofen was desperately trying to stave off the looming Soviet counterattack at Stalingrad. The opportunity had been missed.
Of course, such arguments are the luxury of historians with hindsight allowing them vantage points not possessed by the participants themselves. The reality is that Hitler wanted Stalingrad captured more than he wanted oilfields destroyed (or even captured, judging by his decision to send Fourth Panzer Army from the Caucasus to Stalingrad in July and his subsequent unwillingness to reinforces his Caucasian armies). He therefore insisted on the continued heavy bombing of Stalingrad, despite it having limited propaganda, strategic or tactical value. Even after he realized that the oilfields could not be gained in 1942 and ordered Richthofen to destroy them from the air, he still insisted that Stalingrad's capture remained his highest priority. This illogical prioritising effectively prevented Richthofen from committing his bomber forces to attacks on the oilfields. In fact, even in October he could only temporarily reduce Stalingrad's bombardment and send bomber forces south when weather conditions curtailed operations there. On those occasions, he usually had to deploy them in support of the beleaguered armies still stretched out across the width of the Caucasus, and could seldom spare them for missions against economic targets. When he did, the raids were too little, too late. Although he inflicted pleasing damage on a few refineries and oilfields, particularly at Grozny, he proved woefully incapable of crippling Soviet oil production.
Endnotes
[1] United States Air Force Historical Research Agency, Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama (cited below as USAFHRA) 506.619A: SHAEF, Office of Assistant Chief of Staff, G2. Subject: Interrogation of Albert Speer, Former Reich Minister of Armaments and War Production. 5th Session-10.30 to 12.30 hrs, 30 May 1945.
[2] F. Halder, Kriegstagebuch: Taegliche Aufzeichnungen des Chefs des Generalstabes des Heeres, 1939-1942, ed. by H.-A. Jacobsen (Stuttgart: W. Kohlhammer, 1965), Vol. II, 50; Cf. also W. Warlimont, Im Hauptquartier der deutschen Wehrmacht, 1939 bis 1945 (Ausburg: Weltbild, 1990. First published by Bernard und Graefe, 1962), Vol. I, 126-129.
[3] Der Prozess gegen die Hauptkriegsverbrecher vor dem Internationalen Militaergerichtshof, Nuernberg, 14. Nov. 1945-1. Okt. 1946 (Nuernberg: Internationales Militaertribunal in Nuernberg, 1947-1949), Vol. VII, 290.
[4] USAFHRA 142.0372: "Strategic Value of the Caucasus", [U.S.] Air Forces General Information Bulletin, No. 3 (12 August 1942), 14. USAFHRA 512.607: "Caucasus Oil", [British] Air Ministry Weekly Intelligence Summary [cited below as AMWIS] No. 156, Up to 1200--26 August 1942, 3 (on microfilm 32770); See also USAFHRA 512.607: "The Grozny Oil District", AMWIS No. 159, Up to 1200--18 September 1942, 24 (on the same microfilm). For very similar German estimates, see USAFHRA K113.106-153 Vol. 11: Der Oberbefehlshaber der Luftwaffe, Fuehrungsstab Ic/IV Nr. 3500/41 Geheim! Orientierungsheft: Union der Sozialistischen Sowjetrepubliken (U.d.S.S.R.), Stand: 1.2.1941, 88-93; USAFHRA K113.106-153 Vol. 11: Der Chef des Wehrwirtschaft- und Ruestungsamts beim OKW, an den Chef des Generalstabes der Luftwaffe, Herrn Generaloberst Jeschonnek, Berlin, den 31.3.1942, 10, 11.
[5] USAFHRA 142.0372: "Strategic Value...", 14. For the population statistics of Baku (809,347 citizens in 1939) and the other major Transcaucasian cities, see USAFHRA K113.106-153: Der Oberbefehlshaber der Luftwaffe, Fuehrungsstab Ic/IV Nr. 3500/41 Geheim! Orientierungsheft: Union der Sozialistischen Sowjetrepubliken (U.d.S.S.R.) Stand 1.2.1941, 9, 10.
[6] USAFHRA 512.607: "Caucasus Oil", 3.
[7] USAFHRA 142.0372: "Strategic Value...", 15.
[8] A. Grechko, Battle for the Caucasus, Translated from the Russian by D. Fidlon (Moscow: Progress Publishers, 1971), 11, 12.
[9] Cf. E. Ludendorff, My War Memoirs: 1914-1918 (London: Hutchinson, n.d.), Volume II, 658-660.
[10] In February 1941, for example, Raeder and Hitler discussed the need to fortify and patrol Greek coasts in order to keep the British out of the Aegean and protect both oil shipments from the Black Sea and exports from Turkey (Report of the C.- in-C., Navy, to the Fuehrer on the Afternoon of February 4, 1941, in H. G. Thursfield (ed.), "Fuehrer Conferences on Naval Affairs, 1942", Brassey's Naval Annual, 1948 (London: William Clowes, 1948), 174-179.
[11] Quoted in B. A. Leach, German Strategy Against Russia, 1939-1941 (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1973), 146. Similarly, a report of the War Economics and Armaments Office, dated 16 February 1942, warned that transportation of significant quantities of oil overland from the Caucasus was "impossible". Bundesarchiv-Militaerarchiv (Federal Military Archives), Freiburg, Germany (cited below as BA/MA) RW 19/202: Wi Rue Amt Stab Z/SR, Die deutsche Treibstoffversorgung im Kriege. Abgeschlossen um die Jahreswende 1941/42.
[12] An OKM (High Command of the Navy) memorandum of 9 May 1941 makes the same point about there being no available transport ships because all oil tankers were fully occupied with the transport of Rumanian oil up the Danube. Cited in N. Rich, Hitler's War Aims: The Establishment of the New Order (London: Andre Deutsch, 1974), 498.
[13] USAFHRA180.642A Vol. 2: The Commander in Chief, Navy, and Chief, Naval Staff, to Naval Group South: 1/Skl I m 275/42 Gkdos. Chefs. 23 February 1942. Subject: Operations in the Black Sea (note: this translated document is from Vol. II of the unpublished Fuehrer Directives and other Top-Level Directives of the German Armed Forces, compiled by the USAF).
[14] The surplus refinement capacity of the plants at Ploesti was no secret. For example, in early 1942, British Air Ministry intelligence staff accurately calculated it to be 4,000,000 tons per year. Whilst they noted that Germany did not have a tanker fleet sufficient to transport the oil from the Caucasus to Rumania, they did warn that it could probably also use part of Vichy France's large fleet in the Mediterranean. USAFHRA 512.607: "German Plans for Russian Oil", AMWIS No. 134, Up to 1200--25 March 1942 (on microfilm 32769).
[15] G. E. Blau, The German Campaign in Russia: Planning and Operations (1940- 42) Department of the Army, Study No. 20-261a (Washington: Department of the Army, 1955), 109, 130.
[16] Weisung Nr. 45, in W. Hubatsch, ed., Hitlers Weisungen fuer die Kriegfuehrung, 1939-1945. Dokumente des Oberkommandos der Wehrmacht (Koblenz: Bernard & Graefe, 1983), 196-200.
[17] Ibid.
[18] The largest operational commands within air fleets were the Fliegerkorps (air corps). These commands, always designated by roman numerals (Fliegerkorps I, II, III, IV and so on), normally functioned under the authority of the air fleet in the region. On numerous occasions throughout the war, however, the Luftwaffe High Command directed certain Fliegerkorps to operate independently and under the direction of their own commanders, who were usually of Generalleutnant or General der Flieger rank. Air fleets seldom controlled more than one Fliegerkorps at a time, although in critical theaters or during major offensives a fleet might assume control of two (and sometimes even elements of a third). Fliegerkorps differed markedly in size and composition, depending on the importance of theaters and the nature of operations each air corps was called upon to perform, but 'typical' corps during the first two years of war in the east possessed between 350 and 600 aircraft of different types (bombers, fighters and so on).
[19] BA/MA N671/9: Dr. Wolfram Frhr. von Richthofen, Generalfeldmarschall. Persoenliches Kriegstagebuch: Band 9: 1.1.-31.12.1942 (cited below as Richthofen Tagebuch), entry for 19 April 1942.
[20] Halder, Kriegstagebuch, Vol. III, p. 501 (entry for 8 August 1942); E. Ziemke and M. Bauer, Moscow to Stalingrad: Decision in the East (Washington, D.C.: United States Army Center of Military History, 1987), 370.
[21] National Archives, Washington, D.C. (cited below as NARS) T971/18/652-662: Die Kampfhandlungen im Osten waehrend des Jahres 1942 (Quelle: Studienentwurf der 8. Abt., Chef Genst. der Luftwaffe, 1944).
[22] G. Ciano, Ciano's Diary, 1939-1943 Ed. M. Muggeridge (London: Heinemann, 1947), 494 (entry for 10 August 1942).
[23] According to the official postwar Soviet history, "it was necessary to blow up 38 industrial enterprises in Krasnodar, 755 oil wells, 11 compressor installations and a pipeline" (History of the Great Patriotic War of the Soviet Union, 1941-1945 Translated by the U.S. Center for Military History (Scholarly Resources, on seven microfilms), Vol. II, 458). See also P. E. Schramm, general ed., Kriegstagebuch des Oberkommandos der Wehrmacht (Wehrmachtfuehrungsstab) 1940-1945 (Frankfurt am Main: Bernard & Graefe, 1961) (cited below as KTB OKW), Vol. II, 581 (entry for 13 August 1942).
[24] USAFHRA K113.106-153 Vol. 14: Der Inspekteur des Luftschutzes, Az. 41 Nr. 2099/42, g., den 21.8.1942, Betr.: Meldung der Luftflotte 4 vom 19.8.1942. "Schaeden auf den Oelfeldern von Maikop and Krasnodar".
[25] BA/MA RW 19/199: Wi Rue Amt Stab Z/SR, Nr. 1754/42 gKdos, Berlin, den 1. September 1942: Kriegswirtschaftlicher Lagebericht Nr. 36, August 1942, gez. Thomas.
[26] BA/MA RW 19/202: Auszuege aus KTB, Wi Rue Amt/Stab (nur Mineraloel-betreffend), Beginn: 9.1.41. Vortrag Dr Schlicht (Mineraloel Brigade) beim Amtchef, 8.9.1942. Bericht ueber Maikop.
[27] D. Irving, Goering: A Biography (London: Macmillan, 1989), 367.
[28] D. Irving, Hitler's War (London: Papermac, 1977), 348.
[29] KTB OKW, Vol. II , 581 (entry for 13 August 1942).
[30] Ziemke and Bauer, 375.
[31] Doc. 134-C: "OKW/WFSt. Nr. 8/41 gKdos. Chefs. Ausfuehrungen des Fuehrers am 20.1.1941", IMT, Vol. XXXIV, 469. See Hitler's earlier comments to Ciano on the danger to the Ploesti refineries: "Conversation with the Fuehrer in the Presence of the Reich Foreign Minister, von Ribbentrop, Salzburg, 18th November 1940", in G. Ciano, Ciano's Diplomatic Papers Edited by M. Muggeridge and Translated by S. Hood (London: Odhams Press, 1948), 408.
[32] Halder, Kriegstagebuch, Vol. III, 192.
[33] KTB OKW, Vol. I, 1063-1064.
[34] H. Guderian, Erinnerungen eines Soldaten (Heidelberg: Kurt Vowinckel, 1951), 182.
[35] By the time the war in Europe finished in May 1945, the Luftwaffe had organised all its operational aircraft into seven Luftflotten (air fleets), three more than it had when hostilities broke out six years earlier. They were designated Luftflotten 1, 2, 3, 4 (the original four), 5, 6, 7 and Reich (created during the war, the latter being responsible for home air defense). Each Luftflotte was similar to an individual 'Air Force' within the United States Army Air Forces; that is, it was a self-contained air command, comprising all types of combat units (bomber, dive-bomber, ground-attack, fighter and reconnaissance) as well as transport, flak and signals units. Senior operational commanders--usually of Generaloberst or Generalfeldmarschall rank--headed the command staff of each air fleet, exercising full authority over subordinate Fliegerkorps.
[36] USAFHRA K113.309-3 Vol. 6: Einsatz fliegende Verbaende der deutschen Luftwaffe an der Ostfront, 20.6.1942; and USAFHRA K113.309-3 Vol. 6: Die Staerke der deutschen Luftwaffe (Ostfront), 20.7.1942.
[37] USAFHRA K113.309-3 Vol. 6: Die Staerke der deutschen Luftwaffe (Ostfront), 20.8.1942.
[38] Ibid.
[39] BA/MA N671/9: Richthofen Tagebuch, entry for 13 May 1942.
[40] Joel S. A. Hayward, "The German Use of Air Power at Kharkov, May 1942", Air Power History, 44, 2 (Summer 1997): 18-29.
[41] Ziemke and Bauer, 275.
[42] KTB OKW, Vol. II, p. 537; History of the Great Patriotic War of the Soviet Union, Vol. II, 455, 456.
[43] Joel S. A. Hayward, Stopped at Stalingrad: the Luftwaffe and Hitler's Defeat in the East 1942-1943 (Lawrence, KS: University Press of Kansas, 1998), 164ff.
[44] T. Erofeev, "Razvitie organizatsionnoi struktury voisk PVO strany", Voenno-istoricheskii zhurnal, 12 (1973): 59-64.
[45] Hayward, Stopped at Stalingrad, 13, 14.
[46] I have covered these missions in ibid.
[47] BA/MA N671/9: Richthofen Tagebuch, entry for 10 August 1942.
[48] Irving, Hitler's War, 437.
[49] NARS T971/16/114-232: III./Kampfgeschwader 55-Kriegstagebuch Nr. 8, entry for 10 October 1942 (frames 140-142).
[50] BA/MA N671/9: Richthofen Tagebuch, entry for 10 October 1942.
[51] USAFHRA K113.106-153: Zusammenstellung der Ist-Staerken und der einsatzbereiten Flugzeuge an der Ostfront 1942.
[52] Source cited in note 50.
[53] NARS T971/18/644-646: Ostfeldzug. Luftwaffeneinsatz (OKW Berichte). H. Boog et al., Der globale Krieg: Die Ausweitung zum Weltkrieg und der Wechsel der Initiative, 1941-1943. Volume 6 of Das Deutsche Reich und der Zweite Weltkrieg (Stuttgart: Deutsche Verlags-Anstalt, 1990), 951.
[54] H.-D. H. von Rohden, Europaeische Beitraege zur Geschichte des Weltkrieges II, 1939/45: Band I, Die deutsche Luftwaffe im Kriege gegen Russland, 1941-1945 (manuscript in the USAFHRA), 117.
[55] KTB OKW, Vol. II, 849.
[56] USAFHRA K113.309-3 Vol. 6: Einsatz fliegende Verbaende der deutschen Luftwaffe an der Ostfront, 20.10.1942.
[57] Hayward, Stopped at Stalingrad, 218.
[58] Ibid., 218-221.
[59] M. Harrison, Soviet Planning in Peace and War 1938-1945 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1985), 171.
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